Pashinyan, The Normalcy Bias, And The Boiling Frog
It all started with an interesting Facebook article published by Hovik Manucharyan on 18 Jan 2026. here is the unedited full text: Normalcy Bias ! It is the belief that because things look “normal” today, they will remain so tomorrow, even when all the warning signs point to the opposite. History provides several examples of this phenomenon: - Kodak celebrated quarterly profits while digital photography quietly rendered its core business obsolete. - Nokia dominated the global mobile phone market but failed to recognize the strategic shift that ultimately erased its dominance. - Blockbuster focused on optimizing store performance while its entire business model was being replaced. The same pattern appears in states and societies. Yes, life is busy. Careers must be built. Families must be supported. Wine festivals must be attended. Geopolitics feels “above our pay grade.” Someone else will handle it. And this folks, is how slow-motion disasters happen. Wh...